2026年国际学术论坛 Concept Note
一、问题背景 1. Background
当代社会正在经历深刻的人口与家庭结构转型，包括婚姻率下降、生育率持续降低以及亲密关系形态的多样化与不稳定化。这一现象不仅涉及经济与政策因素，也可能反映出更深层的制度结构与文化结构的共同变化。
因此，本论坛尝试从文明结构层面对这一问题进行系统性分析。
Contemporary societies are undergoing profound transformations in marriage patterns, fertility rates, and forms of intimate relationships. These changes cannot be fully explained by economic or policy factors alone, but may reflect deeper shifts in both institutional and cultural structures.
This forum addresses these issues from a civilizational perspective.
二、分析框架：制度与文化的双重结构 2. Analytical Framework: Institutional and Cultural Dimensions
本论坛采用“制度结构—文化结构”双重分析框架，对青年婚恋与生育问题进行跨文明比较研究。
The forum adopts a dual framework of institutional and cultural analysis to examine youth marriage and fertility.
（一）制度层面 (1) Institutional Dimension
制度层面主要关注不同社会如何通过法律、政策与公共制度塑造婚姻与家庭结构，包括：
This dimension focuses on how law, policy, and institutional arrangements shape marriage and family structures, including:
- 西方国家的婚姻与家庭法律体系及相关社会政策Marriage and family law systems in Western societies
- 中国当代婚姻、家庭与人口政策体系Contemporary population and family policies in China
- 制度安排对生育行为与家庭结构的结构性影响Structural effects of institutional design on fertility behavior
- 法律与社会福利制度对亲密关系选择的调节机制Regulatory and welfare systems shaping relational choices
本部分强调制度不仅是外在规范体系，同时构成行为选择的结构性条件。
Institutions are understood not merely as external constraints, but as structural conditions of social behavior.
（二）文化层面 (2) Cultural Dimension
文化层面主要关注不同文明传统如何塑造婚恋观与生育观，包括：
This dimension examines how civilizational traditions shape perceptions of marriage and fertility, including:
- 犹太—基督教传统中关于婚姻、家庭与生育的神学与伦理结构Jewish–Christian theological and ethical traditions
- 西方文明中个体、契约与家庭关系的文化基础Western cultural foundations of individuality, contract, and family
- 中国传统“易经文明”中阴阳结构对关系秩序的理解The I Ching tradition and its yin–yang relational structure
- 《周易》哲学中关于生成、配合与延续的关系模型Classical Chinese models of generation and relational continuity
本部分旨在比较不同文明如何理解“男女关系”及其延续机制。
This part focuses on how civilizations construct fundamental models of relational order.
三、核心问题意识 3. Core Research Question
在制度与文化双重结构之下，本论坛聚焦以下核心问题：
当代婚姻与生育行为的变化，究竟是制度调整的结果，还是文化结构转型的表现，或二者共同作用的结果？
进一步而言，本论坛试图探讨：
The central question is:
Are changes in marriage and fertility primarily driven by institutional transformation, cultural transformation, or the interaction of both?
More broadly, the forum asks:
- 现代社会关系秩序是否正在发生结构性重组Whether contemporary relational order is undergoing structural reconfiguration
- 不同文明如何理解“婚姻—生育—家庭”的基础逻辑How different civilizations conceptualize marriage, family, and reproduction
- 经典传统是否仍然具有解释当代社会结构的能力Whether classical traditions still possess interpretive power for modern social structures
四、比较文明视角 4. Comparative Civilizational Perspective
本论坛在方法上采取跨文明比较路径，将以下三种结构置于同一分析框架中：
The forum places three systems in a comparative analytical framework:
- 西方犹太—基督教文明传统The Jewish–Christian civilizational tradition
- 现代西方制度与法律体系Modern Western institutional and legal systems
- 中国《周易》所代表的经典文明传统The classical Chinese tradition represented by the I Ching
通过比较分析，探索不同文明对“关系秩序”的不同建构方式。
This comparison aims to explore different civilizational constructions of relational order.
五、总体目标 5. Objectives
本论坛旨在：
The forum aims to:
- 建立制度与文化交叉分析的研究框架Develop an integrated institutional–cultural analytical framework
- 推动对青年婚恋与生育问题的结构性理解Advance structural understanding of marriage and fertility issues
- 探索经典思想在现代社会结构中的解释能力Explore the interpretive capacity of classical thought in modern society
- 为未来社会关系秩序提供跨文明视角Contribute to a cross-civilizational theory of social order